Mega Millions Odds - Understanding Probability and Prize Odds

Mega Millions Odds

Understand your chances of winning at Mega Millions. Here's a complete breakdown of all prize tiers and their odds.

Prize Tiers and Odds

Match

5 numbers + Mega Ball

Prize

Jackpot

Odds of Winning

1 in 302,575,350

Probability

0.000000%

Match

5 numbers

Prize

$1,000,000

Odds of Winning

1 in 12,607,306

Probability

0.000008%

Match

4 numbers + Mega Ball

Prize

$10,000

Odds of Winning

1 in 931,001

Probability

0.000107%

Match

4 numbers

Prize

$500

Odds of Winning

1 in 38,792

Probability

0.002578%

Match

3 numbers + Mega Ball

Prize

$200

Odds of Winning

1 in 14,547

Probability

0.006874%

Match

3 numbers

Prize

$10

Odds of Winning

1 in 606

Probability

0.165017%

Match

2 numbers + Mega Ball

Prize

$10

Odds of Winning

1 in 693

Probability

0.144300%

Match

1 number + Mega Ball

Prize

$4

Odds of Winning

1 in 89

Probability

1.123596%

Match

Mega Ball only

Prize

$2

Odds of Winning

1 in 37

Probability

2.702703%

Overall Odds

1 in 24

Chance of winning any prize

Jackpot Odds

1 in 302.6M

Chance of winning the jackpot

Expected Value

~$0.60

Per $2 ticket (on average)

Understanding the Odds

What do these odds mean? The odds represent your probability of winning a specific prize. For example, the odds of winning the jackpot are 1 in 302,575,350, meaning if you played every possible combination, you'd win the jackpot once.

Are these odds good? Mega Millions offers better odds than many other lotteries. Your overall chance of winning any prize is about 1 in 24, which is relatively favorable compared to other games.

Can I improve my odds? No. Each ticket has the same odds regardless of which numbers you choose. The lottery is purely a game of chance.

Learn More About Mega Millions

Disclaimer: These odds are for informational purposes. Please play responsibly and only spend what you can afford to lose.